Market overview from globalCoal for January 13

Saturday, January 14 2012 - 02:35 AM WIB

We saw a bearish end to the week with coal losing value across all main hubs and on both paper and physical markets on the back of several outside factors. Despite opening marginally higher, oil and other energy markets fell away with coal following suit. News of credit downgrades for Austria and France and expectations of more in the Eurozone saw the Euro fall heavily in the afternoon. This impacted the API#2 which fell more than the API#4 and Swap NEWC markets during the afternoon. Front month Brent ended the day down by ~$0.75/bbl to ~$110.50/bbl whilst the Euro had lost over 1.5c at one point. At the end of the day API#2 was lower by ~$1.75 whilst the API#4 and NEWC had dropped by ~$0.75.

In Asian hours, the general low key trading environment still remained, as Chinese interest continues to wind down for Lunar New Year celebrations. Newcastle coal was again well bid in the prompt, with no sign of coal availability in Feb '12, and limited tonnes for March '12. The day finished well, with Feb RB trading at $106 in 150kt with a restricted laycan. Prices discovery of Indonesian coals after the recent Korean tender continues to put downward pressure on prices.

globalCoal trades this week

Product Expiry Price Volume Origin Delivery Point EFP
09/01/2012 Phys ARA (DES) Mar'12 $109.00 50000 ACPRS Ams/Rot EFP
09/01/2012 SWAP NEWC Index 2012 $112.75 60000
09/01/2012 SWAP NEWC Index Q2'12 $111.50 15000
10/01/2012 Phys RB1 Mar'12 $107.00 25000

13/01/2012 Phys API#2 Index (DES) Feb'12 -$ 1.00 50000

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