Market overview from globalCoal for July 12

Thursday, July 12 2012 - 10:43 PM WIB

Coal markets drifted lower today with both physical and paper markets struggling to find liquidity. Again we saw physical markets in the prompt reasonably well offered with both fixed price and index related markets slipping. With the Euro dipping through the day we saw API#2 prices suffer marginally worse than the FOBs. Front month Brent also fell away losing ~$0.25/bbl to close at $99.95. Given this broadly bearish tone we also saw API#4 and Swap NEWC drop away by ~$0.25c across the curve.

Bids are heard from Indian buyers for 4200GAR and 4500GAR at $36/mt and $45/mt respectively. Similar to the Chinese market, the bid/offer spread is still at least $3-4/mt. However, market participants are hopeful that the demand will pick up in Q4 after the monsoon period.

globalCOAL Trades this Week

  Product Expiry Price Volume Origin Delivery Point Add.Terms
09/07/2012    Phys RB1 Aug'12 $ 88.50 50,000      
09/07/2012   Phys NEWC (FOB Newcastle) Sep'12 $ 88.50 25,000     EFP
09/07/2012      SWAP NEWC Index Q4'12 $ 90.00 15,000      
09/07/2012    Phys NEWC (FOB Newcastle) Oct'12 $ 89.00 25,000      
09/07/2012 SWAP NEWC Index Q4'12 $ 89.75 15,000      
10/07/2012   Phys ARA (DES) Sep'12 $ 88.75 50,000 ACPRS  Ams/Rot EFP
10/07/2012     SWAP NEWC Index 2013 $ 95.25 60,000      
10/07/2012   Phys API#4 Index (FOB RB1) 2013 -$ 0.10 600,000      
11/07/2012     Phys RB1 Aug'12 $ 84.15 150,000      
12/07/2012     Phys ARA (DES) Sep'12 $ 86.50  50,000 ACPRS Ams/Rot EFP

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