OPEC output up 250,000 BPD in May: Survey

Monday, June 9 2003 - 03:22 PM WIB

OPEC's eleven members, including Iraq, pumped an average 26.61-million barrels per day (BPD) in May, up 250,000 BPD from April's 26.36-mil BPD, a Platts survey of OPEC and oil industry officials released Monday.

Excluding Iraq, whose output was estimated to have risen from 50,000 BPD in April to 260,000 BPD in May, the survey showed that the ten members with quotas produced 26.35 million BPD to exceed their official 24.5 million BPD ceiling by 1.85 million BPD.

These ten will have to reduce output by 950,000 BPD to meet their new, higher ceiling of 25.4 million BPD, which came into effect Jun 1. When OPEC agreed the higher ceiling at an Apr 24 "consultative" conference, it said that although official quotas were being raised, actual production would fall.

But the survey showed that most countries increased output in May. Saudi Arabia was the only member to reduce production, albeit by only 100,000 BPD.

Riyadh pumped an average 9.1 million BPD in May, which means it will have to slash output by a further 844,000 BPD in June to meet its new 8.256 million BPD quota.

Only three members produced within their quotas in May -- Indonesia, Nigeria, and Venezuela. Indonesia's output is declining, while production levels in Nigeria and Venezuela have been affected in recent months by ethnic unrest and strike action.

"Instead of reining in overproduction towards their new quotas, most OPEC countries have actually increased production. With WTI around $30 per barrel and Brent around $27 per barrel, there has been little incentive for them to cut back," said John Kingston, global director of oil at Platts. "Some OPEC officials have talked about cutting official quota levels at the June 11 meeting in Doha, Qatar. But that looks unlikely now."

Iraq, working to boost production after the US-led war, produced an average 260,000 BPD in May, according to the survey. The country's de facto oil minister Thamir Ghadban said earlier this week that output had risen to around 750,000 BPD and was expected to reach 1.5 million BPD by mid-June.

OPEC's crude basket stood at $26.72 per barrel Jun 4.

Earlier Jun 5, Iraq's State Oil Marketing Organization issued a tender for the sale of 12 million barrels of crude stored at Ceyhan in Turkey and at Iraq's southern port Mina al-Bakr. (*)

Country-by-country breakdown of production with figures in millions of BPD:

Country

May 03

Apr 03

Mar 03

Feb 03

Feb 03 Quota

June 03 Quota


Algeria

1.140

1.120

1.110

1.050

0.782

0.811

Indonesia1.030 1.030 1.0401.0801.2701.317
Iran3.680 3.680 3.760 3.6903.5973.729
Iraq 0.260 0.050 1.440 2.510N/AN/A
Kuwait2.3002.300 2.3002.0001.9662.038
Libya 1.430 1.420 1.410 1.4001.3121.360
Nigeria 1.920 1.850 1.930 2.1802.0182.092
Qatar0.7600.7600.760 0.7500.6350.658
Saudi Arabia 9.100 9.2009.4608.4707.9638.256
UAE 2.300 2.280 2.290 2.1402.1382.217
Venezuela2.670 2.670 2.280 1.4902.8192.923
Total 26.610 26.360 27.780 27.030N/AN/A
OPEC 10 (excluding IRAQ) 26.350 26.310 26.340 24.52024.50025.400

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