OPEC output rises 360,000 b/d in July: Survey
Tuesday, August 13 2002 - 02:44 AM WIB
Excluding Iraq, which does not participate in OPEC output pacts, supply from the ten members with quotas rose by 280,000 b/d to 23.5-mil b/d. These ten countries are now exceeding their collective 21.7-mil b/d production ceiling by 1.8-mil b/d, the survey showed.
Only two countries reduced production - Indonesia and Iran - with output falling by 20,000 b/d and 10,000 b/d, respectively. But the combined decrease of 30,000 b/d was more than offset by increases from other members totaling 390,000 b/d.
The biggest single increase--160, 000 b/d--came from Saudi Arabia, whose output rose from 7.49-mil b/d in June to 7.65-mil b/d in July.
"The survey shows OPEC overproducing its ceiling by 1.8-mil b/d, which exceeds the 1.5-mil b/d in cuts implemented at the start of the year," commented PeterZipf, Editor in Chief of Platts' Oilgram News. "A quandary for OPEC is how to accommodate this overproduction into a credible agreement in September, when the group is expected to increase its output."
Iraq, whose exports under the UN's oil-for-aid program have been erratic for several months, was estimated to have produced an average 1.7-mil b/d in July, up 80,000 b/d from June's 1.62-mil b/d.
Venezuela boosted production by 50,000 b/d to 2.72-mil b/d. In April, Platts estimated Venezuela's crude output capacity at 3-mil b/d, although some analysts suggested even then that Venezuelan capacity might have already declined beyond that level.
Nigerian production climbed back above 1.9-mil b/d in July, having fallen to1.87-mil b/d in June. Algerian production has continued to edge up.
Both Nigeria and Algeria are seeking higher OPEC quotas, Algeria having already made a formal request for the matter to be discussed at the September 19 ministerial conference, to be held in Osaka, Japan.
Country-by-country breakdown of production with figures in millions ofb/d:
Country | July 02 | June 02 | May 02 | April 02 | Mar 02 | Quota |
Algeria | 0.860 | 0.850 | 0.830 | 0.810 | 0.800 | 0.693 |
Indonesia | 1.110 | 1.130 | 1.130 | 1.140 | 1.140 | 1.125 |
Iran | 3.390 | 3.400 | 3.370 | 3.340 | 3.380 | 3.186 |
Iraq | 1.700 | 1.620 | 1.790 | 1.210 | 2.510 | N/A |
Kuwait | 1.900 | 1.890 | 1.880 | 1.870 | 1.850 | 1.741 |
Libya | 1.330 | 1.320 | 1.310 | 1.300 | 1.290 | 1.162 |
Nigeria | 1.920 | 1.870 | 1.900 | 1.950 | 1.970 | 1.787 |
Qatar | 0.640 | 0.640 | 0.640 | 0.620 | 0.600 | 0.562 |
S.Arabia | 7.650 | 7.490 | 7.430 | 7.430 | 7.370 | 7.053 |
UAE | 1.980 | 1.960 | 1.960 | 1.970 | 1.960 | 1.894 |
Venezuela | 2.720 | 2.670 | 2.680 | 2.480 | 2.580 | 2.497 |
Total | 25.200 | 24.8400 | 24.920 | 24.120 | 25.450 | |
OPEC 10 (excluding IRAQ.(*) | 23.500 | 23.220 | 23.130 | 22.910 | 22.940 | 21.70 |