Market overview from globalCoal for September 14

Thursday, September 15 2011 - 01:33 AM WIB

Macro issues dominated wider market sentiment for the day again with renewed concerns over Euro debt and the possibility of Greece defaulting. Financial coal values ticked off by ~$0.75 on the benchmark Cal 12 contracts across the three main indices, largely on the back of the continuing price correction seen in the physical markets. The physical market itself saw index-qualifying trades being concluded in the DES ARA and Richards Bay hubs at levels approx. $1 lower than yesterday - indeed, Richards Bay in particular looks well offered for the balance of the year. Meanwhile, front-month Brent crude went in the opposite direction, gaining $0.35 to end the day (@ 17:00) at ~112.25/bbl.

Values indicated by Chinese traders CFR China for 5800, 5500, 5000 NAR bid prices are as follows: $ 118/mt, $ 112/mt, $ 98/mt today. Freights from Oz-S.E. China ~ $ 15-16mt, so the bids indicated are still $97/mt FOB Oz on a netback basis (bid price). Some saying the best prices they saw from Chinese during last week's conference was 119-120 cfr basis 5500 NAR, which is at the top end of the estimates from late last week (~ 103.50/mt for branded material done fob 5500 NAR). (*)

globalCoal trades this week

Product Expiry Price Volume Origin Delivery Point EFP
12/09/2011 Phys RB1 Nov'11 $ 117.00 50000 EFP
12/09/2011 Phys RB1 Nov'11 $ 117.25 50000
13/09/2011 Phys NEWC (FOB Newcastle) Nov'11 $ 123.25 25000 EFP
14/09/2011 Phys ARA (DES) Nov'11 $ 121.50 50000 ACPRS Ams/Rot EFP

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